Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.734518 0.841033 0.956681 1.091457 1.244091 1.411469 1.608813
2025-01-19 0.563669 0.705730 0.873153 1.084541 1.343821 1.650954 2.041843
2025-01-26 0.468832 0.637067 0.850720 1.140751 1.522865 2.007634 2.667665
2025-02-02 0.400391 0.586921 0.840696 1.208806 1.726324 2.424716 3.434797
2025-02-09 0.332349 0.523244 0.800274 1.227715 1.865823 2.777211 4.170052
2025-02-16 0.275950 0.464629 0.755500 1.230837 1.980929 3.109543 4.923434
2025-02-23 0.232271 0.416556 0.717172 1.235402 2.096207 3.454901 5.741458
2025-03-02 0.196458 0.374022 0.679529 1.233265 2.198098 3.790112 6.585670
2025-03-09 0.171276 0.344837 0.658669 1.254571 2.339717 4.204726 7.609452
2025-03-16 0.146280 0.310934 0.623304 1.243565 2.421782 4.526894 8.514308
2025-03-23 0.130678 0.292124 0.612321 1.274865 2.583072 5.004719 9.748130
2025-03-30 0.113214 0.266013 0.582617 1.264752 2.663535 5.343620 10.766705
2025-04-06 0.100489 0.247964 0.566917 1.281748 2.802389 5.814675 12.103990
2025-04-13 0.085831 0.222614 0.531579 1.252143 2.842599 6.100072 13.117378
2025-04-20 0.079068 0.214535 0.532757 1.301935 3.056689 6.759161 14.959906
2025-04-27 0.074110 0.209922 0.541061 1.369041 3.317723 7.545989 17.158665
2025-05-04 0.066585 0.197130 0.527803 1.383699 3.462908 8.104058 18.937006
2025-05-11 0.059233 0.183229 0.509389 1.382869 3.571834 8.595388 20.626299
2025-05-18 0.052990 0.171076 0.493287 1.385130 3.688182 9.116380 22.440875
2025-05-25 0.047270 0.159189 0.475787 1.380896 3.787740 9.609829 24.247684
2025-06-01 0.043260 0.151620 0.468753 1.403379 3.957914 10.288984 26.565814
2025-06-08 0.038491 0.140563 0.449899 1.390340 4.033740 10.748575 28.407245
2025-06-15 0.035753 0.135572 0.447874 1.424593 4.240592 11.555242 31.188470